The composite indicator of business climate in manufacturing industry fell by two points to 95 and remains below the 100 that corresponds to the long-term average of this indicator.

All 23 economists polled by Reuters on average expected a figure of 95, with estimates ranging from 93 to 97.

The indicator of business climate as a whole, including services, construction, wholesale and retail trade, a parallel decline of two points to 93.

"The turning point indicator remains in the negative zone in which he had switched to in September.Sectoral indicators are all turning into a negative zone, "said INSEE in a statement.

The service indicator down two points to 92.

The meetings of the Eurogroup and the Ecofin Council will kick off a new week decisive for the future of the single currency.

"The treaties do not allow it." In explaining his refusal of the French proposal to transform the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) in the bank, allowed to refinance at the ECB, Berlin relied on legal argument. This is one reason that stands. But that does not really understand the inner motivations of this veto.

Avoid a slap in the Bundestag

To convince Germany, Angela Merkel is not only that we must win, but all members of the Bundestag.The German Constitutional Court has recently decided as follows: all decisions on the euro zone must obtain the approval of Parliament. And given the difficulties faced by the Chancellor with his coalition, the vote of an instrument that could be used to finance massive debt fragile seemed complicated. All the Green MPs a vote last week has mandated an agreement of 620 elected and not 42 members of the Committee Affairs budget as planned initially. "Presumably, if the French proposal was adopted, the vote could have given rise to heated debates and passionate," said Céline Antonin, an economist at the OFCE.

Preserve the independence of the ECB

The institution is far out of his terms for a year and a half.She began to buy back debt from fragile countries in May 2010 (Greece, Italy and Spain in particular) and a further 4.5 billion euros of bonds last week, more than double the week before. In total, the amount of transactions on the secondary market amounted to 170 billion euros. The ECB has also put hundreds of billions of euros of liquidity available to banks that have struggled to find on the market conditions as favorable. But Germany has reluctantly agreed to these interventions. So was it not possible for her to give the EFSF a kind of drawing right on the ECB via the proposed banking license. Berlin would prefer to see the guardian of the euro back to its original objectives of controlling inflation, according to Céline Antonin. "It was created on the model of the Bundesbank.And right now we try to avoid it too so its mandate, even if the buyback is expected to continue in the coming weeks, "said the economist. According to the German press, the capacity of EFSF not would not be sufficient to take the baton, they should buy back the debt jointly.

Avoid stopping just over the ECB balance sheet

If the French solution was preferred, the EFSF would have borrowed directly from the ECB. In exchange, the Fund would have a guarantee of debt securities of countries weakened. This would have meant to burden the balance sheet of the institution and, ultimately, to require states to put the hands in their pockets to recapitalize the institution. Germany wanted not to get there, especially since the ECB has already accumulated a lot of bad loans."Central banks have already full of rotten loans, credit claims more toxic than the debts of the states in trouble," said the economist and the OFCE, Jean-Paul Fitoussi.

Why not? What is certain is that the current situation is no longer tenable. We are in a deep housing crisis that it is imperative to get out. Housing is on average nearly a quarter of the household budget, a record.Between 2000 and 2010, the purchasing power of households grew by 43%, while new home prices jumped 84% and those of existing homes soared by 241%! This discrepancy between the increase in household incomes and rising house prices is no longer eligible. Why this situation? When you look over a long period, there was only after a vigorous effort for building the "Thirty Glorious Years", a break occurred during a decade (1975-1988) where the number of homes built has remained well below changing needs. It is as if an unmet demand for housing was made that was never resolved thereafter, creating a persistent quantitative imbalance between supply and demand for housing.One solution to overcome the present crisis: build much more! For this, we must mobilize all the levers.

You state that the modification of zoning regulations is the first project that must be addressed?

There is no point to heaps of money on the table if the planning rules do not change. Land use planning should be the keystone of the edifice. This means first a simplification in the process of granting building permits: we can divide the time by two. Then we have to stop wanting to build the city over the city. Instead, we must develop new urban spaces. Grounds exist. Look at the periphery of city centers, there are always lots available to build new shopping centers. Why not build there, of new housing by bringing all the necessary public services.This can be done since France is a country in Europe or the population density per square kilometer is the lowest in Europe.

Should we return to the products of tax exemption?

No. But it can not happen today financial resources of the private investor to build more. But it is absolutely necessary condition these tax benefits. More rents out these programs will be low, more tax benefits will be significant. That's an interesting idea to take off social housing or intermediate.

Precisely, one of the evils of this crisis is the blocking of social housing. How to get out?

It is true that the system of social housing is completely blocked: the gap between rents and those of the public park private park is so huge that people refuse to leave a public housing even when their family or financial situation would allow the.Where waiting lists and the freezing of rotations. We must break this deadlock. The idea is to create private law firms, 50% owned by private companies and 50% by housing agencies. Their main objective is to develop a rental housing through: that is to say housing where rents are cheaper than in the private sector but more expensive than social housing. Families could then leave the park freeing HLM housing. One could imagine a system where after ten years, tenants become owners of their homes. With this system, social housing finds its primary function: housing the poor.

Unlocking the social home ownership?

In 1990, the lower fringe of the middle class represented 80% of home buyers. Today, they are more than 30%.Therefore restoring the purchasing power of these households. We spend huge sums in interest-free loan without reaching resolvabiliser these households. I propose that the 1.3 billion spent in the financing of PTZ in the former are redeployed. € 900 million could be spent to finance the construction of new homes on the market with price caps and revenue caps for buyers. The remaining 400 million could be used to fund social home in the former in exchange for renovations heat.

The rating agency Standard and Poor's downgraded Wednesday by one notch credit rating of Slovenia, pointing degradation "of budgetary conditions" of the small Alpine country member of the euro area.

Standard and Poor's has increased from "AA" to "AA-" credit rating of the bonds Slovenian long-term, explaining that "budgetary conditions of Slovenia has deteriorated since the financial crisis of 2008" without that "the Government has presented a credible strategy of consolidation."

"AA-" is the fourth best score on the scale of Standard & Poor's and Ljubljana retains its status as issuer of high quality. In late September, it was Moody's had downgraded the sovereign rating of the country and threatened to lower it again, highlighting the fragility of banks and the risks to the government having to intervene again to support the sector.

Fitch's colleague had done the same in the process, lowering by one notch to "AA-" rating of the country, citing similar reasons. Fitch also regretted the rejection of the pension reform, "which is" a setback for long-term soundness of public finances. "

The decision by Standard and Poor's comes as pressure continues to deepen in the euro area, which is still unable to stem the debt crisis, while financial markets have placed their hopes in the top of the EU in Brussels on Sunday.

Tuesday, it is Spain which has been targeted by the rating agencies, with Moody's lowered the country's credit rating by two notches, and indicating that it might be lowered further in the medium term ."The debt burden has declined in Slovenia between 2002 and 2008 and has grown rapidly due to government policy to protect the economy and the banking system of the negative impact of the crisis," noted the agency in a statement.

Standard and Poor's has reported a "stable outlook" for the former member of Yugoslavia because "the expectation" of the agency to see "the government strengthen its finances and implement a program to consolidate budget ". The Slovenian government was overthrown in late September and early elections were called for December 4.

This election "is an opportunity for the new government to avoid another slip (public debt) and to implement structural reforms," ​​said the American agency.Former student model from the former communist members of the EU, Slovenia has been hit hard by the economic crisis and financial crisis of 2008/2009 and is struggling to recover.

Unemployment has nearly doubled in three years. The public debt rose from 22.5% to 43.3% of gross domestic product (GDP) between 2008 and 2010, but remained well below the limit imposed by the Stability Pact and European growth (60%).

You feel that China dominates world trade? You have seen nothing yet. A study by HSBC, China will become the world's largest exporter by 2020, before the United States. In 2025, the share of the Middle Kingdom in world trade (exports plus imports) reach 13%. "This is the only country that should see its share rise by more than three points over the period 2011-2025," said Alan Keir, director of the corporate market for the HSBC Group.The reason for this shift history: the close trade links with other emerging countries.

In recent years China's secure raw material supplies by investing in Latin America, Asia and Africa. It also provides consumer goods to the entire developing world, where demand is exploding. Between 2001 and 2010, for example, trade between China and Brazil has jumped 1000%! Now Brazil will be one, within fifteen years to come, of the most commercially vibrant. Its trade increase by 144% over the period 2011-2025. Vietnam, Indonesia, Egypt and India, where trade will grow even faster, also used as a springboard for Chinese companies.

Further decline in the share of France

This dynamism of trade in the emerging world will lower the share of industrial countries in world trade.This is the second lesson of the study of HSBC. Germany, for example, would see its share decline from 8.2% to 7.2% by 2025. But German companies working more with businesses in emerging Europe (Poland and Czech Republic) in order to remain competitive. North America, meanwhile, would be able to maintain a market share of 14.5% in 2025 (against 14.3% today) thanks to exports of pharmaceuticals to developing countries.

And France? Our country accounted for 3.9% of world trade at the end of 2010. This figure could fall to 3.1% in 2025. France has a strong industrial base, including aerospace, engines, pharmaceuticals and motor vehicles. But our trading partners in most European countries, where growth is relatively low.But the study by HSBC is clear: to Asia that the new trade corridors are created. The experts are betting on an increase of 120% of trade between France and India over the period 2011-2025. But this is hardly impressive in the light of developments in world trade (73% expected over the next 15 years). China, by comparison, has tentacles ten times faster.

His immense contribution to the computer and creativity, which revolutionized the everyday practices of millions of people worldwide, were immediately welcomed in the political class and the world of new technologies but also among Apple customers, often become unconditional followers of products born of his imagination.

"Steve Jobs was among the greatest innovators Americans brave enough to think differently, bold enough to think himself capable of changing the world and talented enough to do so," said President of the United States Barack Obama, saying that the world had "lost a visionary."

From Los Angeles to Sydney, admirers began to pay tribute to Steve Jobs before the Apple Stores'. Before one of these stores in New York, candles, flowers, an apple or an iPod were filed in an impromptu memorial. In San Francisco, some waved their iPads by including one on the screen in black and white portrait of Steve Jobs.

The phenomenon also affects many websites, including Apple, which changed its home page to display a picture of his co-founder, simply titled "Steve Jobs: 1955-2011."

At company headquarters, the flags were taken at half-mast.Employees have left flowers on a bench.

"For those of us who were lucky enough to work with him, it was an insanely great honor," said former rival Bill Gates, former head of Microsoft and other icon of the computer, using the phrase "insanely great" that liked to use Steve Jobs himself.

Outside the residence of Steve Jobs in Palo Alto, neighbors and friends laid flowers and left messages on the sidewalk."Thank you for changing the world," it said in particular.

SOLID COMPANY

Steve Jobs has died in Palo Alto, California, surrounded by his wife and his closest relatives, said Apple, with no other details.

He resigned in late August from his position as CEO of Apple, saying that his health no longer allowed him to take charge.He was then sent to Tim Cooks his right arm over the reins of the company was born, according to legend, in a garage.

For most analysts and investors, Steve Jobs gives a company strong enough to continue growing despite the loss of one who was also its main source of innovation and its charismatic promoter.

Apple, the second market capitalization on Wall Street behind the oil major Exxon Mobil, however, faces many challenges, including the face of competition from Google, whose Android operating system team more and more smartphones.

The Cupertino company is also engaged in a legal showdown with South Korea's Samsung Electronics in terms of intellectual property.

"Steve Jobs has introduced many revolutionary changes in the field of information technology and it was a great entrepreneur. His innovative spirit and its remarkable achievements remain forever etched in the minds of people around the world," said Samsung boss, GS Choi.

The famous "keynote"

Steve Jobs's death occurs after the presentation by Tim Cook of the new iPhone 4S in a "keynote" as Steve Jobs featured at each release of a new Apple product. The new device has attracted little enthusiasm, much regretting the lack of major innovation for the product best-selling worldwide.

Steve Jobs's death was announced after the end of virtually all trade with the New York Stock Exchange.The Apple stock ended the session at 378.25 dollars but the title side yielded 3.7% in Frankfurt on Thursday morning.

Tim Cook said that Apple would hold "soon" in-house ceremony in honor of Steve Jobs.

"Intelligence, passion and energy of Steve were the source of countless innovations that have enriched and improved the lives of all of us. The world is infinitely better thanks to Steve," Apple wrote in a statement.

Steve Jobs' wealth is estimated by Forbes magazine to seven billion dollars and it is unclear how it will be distributed.

The president of MEDEF, Laurence Parisot, ruled Friday that there was "some micro-signs" pointing to a tightening of credit to businesses, but little else, while the current reduction of bank balance sheets is likely to cause dry credit.

"There are some micro-signs but no more than that. The banks have increased their credit to the economy in a fairly regular basis. The latest figures we have are rather reassuring. It is 4%," said Ms. Parisot on France Info.

"Of course we will be very careful.I call on the French banks today to maintain the effort they have undertaken since 2008 to support our VSE (very small) and our SMEs (Small and Medium Enterprises), "she said.

The prospect of entry into force of the new regulatory framework and Basel III said the current tensions in financial markets causing some difficulties in short-term funding of banks encourage institutions to strictly control and often reduce the size of their balance sheets . This can be done through asset sales or a reduction commitments, that is to say loans.

Fears about the banking stocks have been very heavy on Monday on all European markets. In Paris, Societe Generale tumbled 8.64% to 20.25 euros, signing the largest decrease in the CAC 40. BNP Paribas lost 6.34% to 31.30 euros, Crédit Agricole (-5.51% to 5.84 euros) and Natixis (-5.68% to 2.55 euros). In the background, the difficulties of Greece, the threat of a lawsuit in the United States against 16 banks – including Societe Generale – for their responsibility in the subprime crisis, and the desire to recapitalize European banks by the IMF .Dominique Dequidt but remains optimistic.

What are the fears about banks today?

First, the gradual disappearance of the sovereign rating in Greece opened the door to further degradation, Ireland and Portugal in the lead. This is one of the great fears in the market today. Investors fear losses that may result in banking stocks that are exposed. Indeed some of the U.S. money market funds that had liquidity of investments in Europe have rather taken off the market last week. The second point is the deterioration of the American note in the summer. She amplified these fears and stoked fears of slowing global growth.

These fears are justified?

It is not really justified, at least in the short term. It is mainly a crisis of confidence that undermines the market.But look closer, banks are healthy. When we look at the credits granted by banking institutions in Europe, there is no need to panic. They rose 3% in the first quarter and 4% in the second. And despite a rather European growth at half the second quarter.

Banks are robust enough to withstand the risk of European sovereign debt and the threat of global recession?

Yes, in the event that we are not witnessing a collapse of the banking system. But there is no need to be as alarmist as the IMF on the recapitalization of banks. They have made big profits in the first half. BNP Paribas, despite its 450 million refinancing of provisions in the Greek debt, posted a profit of more than 2 billion euros in the first quarter.

But banks are very fearful to lend to each other.The level of cash placed with the European Central Bank has now reached 151 billion euros …

We are in a tense situation since the beginning of August the fears are heavy on the strength of some banks. Hence the difficulty they face to lend to each other. This level is certainly high compared to six months ago. But we are still far from the amounts of their outstanding 2008 in which the ECB had reached astronomical levels.

The trial of the U.S. federal government against 16 global banks – including the general society – he may weigh on an already difficult climate?

I do not think, at least for France and Europe. They are not involved in the trial. And regarding the risks of fines, it is called, in the extreme case, a fine running into hundreds of millions of euros.This is a difficult but there is no major concern to have.

To what extent can we expect an impact on the real economy if the situation worsens?

Banks have made a big effort on their balance sheets, it is not in the same situation of overheating than during the crisis. They are now well prepared for the state of distrust of the markets. But the phenomenon of double-dip recession may occur. 3 months ago investors imagined a soft landing in growth after the good figures of 2010. Today expectations are more cautious, and go up to imagine a recession in 2012.

Preliminary estimates of the survey Thomson Reuters / University of Michigan released Friday, the index fell to 54.9, the highest since May 1980, after 63.7 in July. Analysts on average expected 63.0.

After this publication, the major indices on Wall Street erased some of their gains and the Nasdaq fell even in the red, before resuming their advance.In Paris the CAC 40 also briefly reduced his earnings.

The high unemployment, stagnant wages and the interminable debate between Democrats and Republicans over raising the debt ceiling weighed on consumer sentiment, who were interviewed before the downgrade of sovereign states United by Standard & Poor's.

"In the history of this survey, we have never had so many consumers who spontaneously mentioned the negative role of government," said in a statement the director Richard Curtin of the investigation.

"It's more than just the recognition that traditional monetary and fiscal measures are exhausted in large part, it is the realization that the government was unable or unwilling to act to do so."

Bitterness and CONCERNS

The Obama administration is reaping the negative opinions of 61% of respondents, the worst score among all the previous presidents.Two thirds of respondents felt that the economy had deteriorated recently.

And 75% are expected in early August in difficult times for the economy, a ratio approaching the historic peak of pessimism hit 82% in 1980.

The component of current conditions index fell more sharply than expected to 69.3, its lowest level since November 2009, after 75.8 in July and while the market awaited 74.3.

The expectations fell to 45.7, also unheard of since May 1980 against 56.0 in July to 55.3 and consensus.

Inflation expectations one year were flat in August to 3.4% last month compared with July, as well as expectations to five years, to 2.9%.

"The surprise is the sharp decline" of consumer sentiment, said Stephen Stanley, Pierpont Securities.

"Some numbers are even lower than what was seen during the recession and financial crisis. The fall in expectations appears to be due to the bitterness of the people on the political situation and their concerns about the financial markets. "

However, this study concern was partly minimized markets after the release of a 0.5% increase in retail sales in July in the United States, or their biggest increase since March.

"The expenses of people do not always match their mood. I doubt that things are as bad as what is suggested by the index of consumer sentiment," said Stephen Stanley.