The French economy has rebounded more than expected in the third quarter, supported once again by household consumption, but could fall to zero by year end and go into recession in early 2012 when the clouds of global economic pile up.
Gross domestic product grew 0.4% between July and September, slightly higher than expected average of the 31 economists polled by Reuters had forecast a 0.3% increase."Employment is zero, the most dangerous."
VICIOUS CIRCLE
In a separate statement, INSEE has announced that the employment of non-agricultural market sectors had created "only" 7,400 jobs between July and September, which amounts to a zero contribution.
If consumption and investment spending of households supported the performance of GDP in the third quarter, spending by non-financial firms are divided into lower, 0.3%, an alarming signal judged by professionals.
The Italian Senate on Friday approved the law of financial stability, a set of austerity measures demanded by the European Union to deal with the debt crisis in the euro area.
The Chamber of Deputies will vote Saturday on the text and Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, private on Tuesday its majority in the House, has promised to resign in the wake to give way to a broad-based government should be led by the former European Commissioner Mario Monti.
The latter voted for the first time Saturday at the Palace Madame – he was appointed senator for life last Wednesday by President of the Republic Giorgio Napolitano.He also called Italian President to express his confidence in his "leadership".
Nicolas Sarkozy announced that he would speak in the day Friday with Giorgio Napolitano.
A MONTI market confidence
"What is needed is that we could get back on track in Greece, it is happening, our Italian friends, who so many ties bind us is what is being to be. I will immediately President Napolitano on the phone, "he said on the sidelines of celebrations of the Armistice of November 11,.
The U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner stressed that the crisis in Europe was "the main challenge to global growth."
Outgoing Prime Minister and opposition leader have agreed on the names of the ministers of the next coalition government. They should announce it in the day. President Papoulias with George Papandreou and Antonis Samaras.
Greek Prime Minister outgoing, George Papandreou and his conservative rival, Antonis Samaras agreed to form and announce "that day" the new coalition government that they negotiate for three days, told AFP a government source . "There is an agreement on the course, which provides that Mr. Papandreou will make by the beginning of the afternoon at the head of state, who then convene a meeting of leaders of political parties during which agreement will be recognized and announced the composition of the new government, "the source said, but to come forward on behalf of the future prime minister, whose only certainty is that this is not Mr.Papandreou.
Three days after international issues overshadowed the G20 summit in Cannes, the budgetary situation and policy in Greece and Italy will again be the focus of discussions among finance ministers of the euro area and European Union on Monday and Tuesday in Brussels.
The meetings of the Eurogroup and the Ecofin Council will kick off a new week decisive for the future of the single currency.
An ad for a room of 4.5 m² sold 38,000 euros has rekindled the controversy over the excesses of the real estate in Paris. Should we see evidence of a "market shacks" and the activity of the slumlords? Elements of response. http://www.flickr.com/photos/gcattiaux/
"Avenue Théophile Gautier, the seventh with no elevator. Refurbished room with skylights, approximately 4.5 m2 floor, WC on landing. Ideal office or residence. Price: 38,000 euros … Or nearly 8500 euros per m2. " Wednesday blamed the Liberation journalist Tonino Serafini, this ad has revived the controversy over the excesses of the housing market in Paris.
"Prices are high in Paris in general. They can go up to 12,000 euros per m²" says Jean-Yves Mano, the deputy mayor of Paris in charge of housing. Theophile Gautier Avenue, the average price rises in 9200 and euros, or 700 more than the closet in question.According to the election, "it's the size that is unreasonable. This announcement is outrageous and I hope no one will respond favorably" says he. The site pap.fr, who had published, was also quick to remove it.
But it is far from an isolated supply. "Further announcements show that there is a market shacks" said Libération journalist also on his blog. It evokes a room as well rue du Faubourg Saint-Denis (Paris IX) of 6 m2, or another in the 17th, 7 m2, both at 45,000 euros. But who are the real buyers in this market? What is their purpose?
Merchants of sleep?
The law prohibits a surface lease under 9 m², considered minimum level of decency. "But I do not see anyone buying a small area at this price if not for the purpose of return" admits Jean-Yves Mano.
The European Central Bank lowered its key rate to 1.25% against 1.5% so far. The new president of the institution Mario Draghi must hold a news conference this afternoon to justify this choice. The Governor of the Bank of Italy, Mario Draghi, should succeed Jean-Claude Trichet for the presidency of the European Central Bank.
The European Central Bank (ECB) decided on Thursday to the surprise of lowering its key rate a quarter point to 1.25%, it had noted in the same proportion there is barely five months.
Since the launch of the euro on 1 January 1999, the ECB changed its rates 34 times (18 increases and 16 decreases).
The European equity markets and U.S. signed remarkable performance under the agreement Wednesday night in Europe on Greek debt restructuring, capacity building fund to support the euro and the recapitalization of banks in Europe.
European authorities have in fact agreed to recapitalize the banking system of the European Union to the tune of 106 billion euros and received in exchange for bankers they divide by two the value of government debt securities held in their accounts to try to stem the debt crisis in the eurozone.
Professionals solar electricity on Thursday presented their general condition. They believe France is capable of producing 20 gigawatts by the age of 10, which would allow it to interfere in an expanding global market.
Do not waste the potential of the photovoltaic sector. That's essentially the message that wanted to pass Thursday industry professionals gathered as part of the presentation of their general condition. According to them, photovoltaics can create 100,000 jobs by 2020. They argue that the solar electricity market is exploding worldwide, and that within 10 years will weigh between 79 and 129 billion euros a year in revenue. They believe this type of energy could begin to be as efficient as electricity from the grid by 2016.It provides for a reduction in production costs by 50% by 2020, following the industrialization of the sector. And a boom in sales following a European directive which induces that all new homes to be energy self-sufficient over a year since 2020.
The professionals ensure that France has the means to take advantage of this expansion. To do this, it must be able to install a power production of 20 gigawatts (GW), which happens according to professionals with an investment of 800 million euros per year and the establishment of a "regulatory framework visible and stable. " "Instead of the objective of the Grenelle 5.4 GW in 2020, we offer 20 GW, which will create 100,000 jobs of which 12,000 can not be relocated in the industry," said Loïc de Poix, responsible of the Association of French industrial PV.
After several months of the States General, all industry players have submitted their proposals to the press for the future of a sector that has suffered greatly from the moratorium imposed in 2010 by the government, which resulted in the removal some 10,000 jobs. These proposals focus on four areas: defining a stable regulatory framework with measures to support demand and supply meet the production target to 20 GW by 2020 against 5.4 GW currently adapting the rates redemption of the solar electricity and regionalization. If nothing is done, the sector could be a deficit and a half billion euros in 2020.
France Telecom announced Wednesday the appointment of Gervais Pellissier for the position of Chief Operating Officer and the appointment of three new deputy directors-general.
The appointments take effect on 1 November 2011.
Gervais Pellissier will retain his position as executive director in charge of finance and information systems group, is it said in a statement.
In addition, Group CEO, Stéphane Richard decided to appoint, with effect from 1 November 2011, Delphine Ernotte Cunca, Executive Director of Orange France, Pierre Louette, Executive Director in charge of the General Secretariat, Division France and Operators purchases and Bruno Mettling, Executive Director in charge of human resources.
Jean-Philippe Vanot, France Telecom has therefore now four deputies.
The action France Telecom closed Wednesday at 13.11 euros (0.69%). She lost 15.93% since the beginning of the year.
Germany justified its refusal to grant a banking license in EFSF citing treaties. But there are other explanations that the legal argument to explain the veto of Angela Merkel. German Chancellor Merkel, Slovenian Prime Minister Pahor and President Sarkozy in Brussels.
"The treaties do not allow it." In explaining his refusal of the French proposal to transform the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) in the bank, allowed to refinance at the ECB, Berlin relied on legal argument. This is one reason that stands. But that does not really understand the inner motivations of this veto.
Avoid a slap in the Bundestag
To convince Germany, Angela Merkel is not only that we must win, but all members of the Bundestag.The German Constitutional Court has recently decided as follows: all decisions on the euro zone must obtain the approval of Parliament. And given the difficulties faced by the Chancellor with his coalition, the vote of an instrument that could be used to finance massive debt fragile seemed complicated. All the Green MPs a vote last week has mandated an agreement of 620 elected and not 42 members of the Committee Affairs budget as planned initially. "Presumably, if the French proposal was adopted, the vote could have given rise to heated debates and passionate," said Céline Antonin, an economist at the OFCE.
Preserve the independence of the ECB
The institution is far out of his terms for a year and a half.She began to buy back debt from fragile countries in May 2010 (Greece, Italy and Spain in particular) and a further 4.5 billion euros of bonds last week, more than double the week before. In total, the amount of transactions on the secondary market amounted to 170 billion euros. The ECB has also put hundreds of billions of euros of liquidity available to banks that have struggled to find on the market conditions as favorable. But Germany has reluctantly agreed to these interventions. So was it not possible for her to give the EFSF a kind of drawing right on the ECB via the proposed banking license. Berlin would prefer to see the guardian of the euro back to its original objectives of controlling inflation, according to Céline Antonin. "It was created on the model of the Bundesbank.And right now we try to avoid it too so its mandate, even if the buyback is expected to continue in the coming weeks, "said the economist. According to the German press, the capacity of EFSF not would not be sufficient to take the baton, they should buy back the debt jointly.
Avoid stopping just over the ECB balance sheet
If the French solution was preferred, the EFSF would have borrowed directly from the ECB. In exchange, the Fund would have a guarantee of debt securities of countries weakened. This would have meant to burden the balance sheet of the institution and, ultimately, to require states to put the hands in their pockets to recapitalize the institution. Germany wanted not to get there, especially since the ECB has already accumulated a lot of bad loans."Central banks have already full of rotten loans, credit claims more toxic than the debts of the states in trouble," said the economist and the OFCE, Jean-Paul Fitoussi.