The abandonment of Abilio Diniz proposed merger between the Brazilian subsidiary of Carrefour and distributor Grupo Pao de Acucar (GPA) is another setback for the giant French distributor who struggle to adjust its performance in mature markets in Europe .
The withdrawal of the state bank BNDES, supposed to finance in part the operation, coupled with the overwhelming opposition expressed Tuesday by the Board of Directors of Casino, were due to the commitment shown so far by the President of GPA, the Billionaire Abilio Diniz.
In an abrupt about-face, the businessman said last night that the project was "suspended", ending the hopes of Crossroads to increase its exposure in a strategic market with strong growth.
The second is a worldwide distributor delicate position. Already weakened by three successive warnings about its results since last fall, he announced Wednesday that operating profit would fall 23% in the first half because of its poor performance in France.
He has not given much to its annual targets as all the analysts said, however, out of reach.
CASINO HAS PLAYED ON ALL TABLES
"The Brazilian deal is dead.This is a new blow to the strategy and management of Carrefour, "said one analyst who requested anonymity.
The French giant has in his strayed into a complicated issue and the outcome of which was the least risky in light of existing commitments towards Casino.
To Herve Mangin, fund manager at Axa IM, the market fears that Brazil joins the series of false hopes given by the group in recent years.
In exchange, according to new lows hit in the opening, the title has recovered and showed an increase of 0.8% to 22.17 euros to 14.15, in a stable market.
At these courses, it shows a fall of more than 28% since the beginning of the year.
"We arrive at a true value to the case.Investors buy at that price, but the question of management or strategy, "said one trader.
Casino, for which the market had already largely mediated Tuesday, took for its 2.13% to 64.84 euros, limiting its loss to 11% since January.
"The overwhelming opposition of the board of Casino was the main factor that determined Diniz to back down," said a close case. For the Brazilian, this operation was inconceivable without the group Saint Etienne, they added.
It is true that in the battle, Casino has been sustained.First attacking Abilio Diniz before an arbitral tribunal, then proceed to an intense lobbying Brazilian authorities by speaking of "expropriation" and finally engaged, through a board of directors unanimously (with the exception of the voice of Abilio Diniz) in an attack in good standing of all the economic aspects of the project.
A FACE-TO-FACE FINE
While Carrefour has submitted its agreement to the green light from the BNDES, the French group could only take note Wednesday morning that "the conditions of a merger are not met."
However, its chief financial officer said Wednesday during a conference call that if a new offer was presented, Carrefour could study it.
Seeing as the days wane the public support of his country, Abilio Diniz had assured the opportunity to find other ways of funding than the BNDES.
But in the present circumstances, it is unclear how it could come back to Carrefour with a proposal that would still not the business of its French rival.
In the short term, the question arises of face-to-face between hard Abilio Diniz and Jean-Charles Naouri and governance of a group (GPA) that they co-control through its entire holding Wilkes.
Some observers suggest a possible release of Abilio Diniz before the expiry of a pact that binds to the Casino.
"Today, Casino has clearly scored points.The pact with Diniz seems flawless, Casino has the right for him, a factor that has gradually been built by the Brazilian political circles, "said one investor.
Ally historic Casino in Brazil, Abilio Diniz was proposed late June to Carrefour, in a complex pattern, to merge its Brazilian operations with those of GPA to give birth to an industry heavyweight weighing more than 30 billion euros in turnover business.
This scheme quickly approved by the board of Carrefour, had immediately provoked the wrath of Casino, under a shareholders' agreement signed with Abilio Diniz ten years ago, can take control of GPA as of June 2012.